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AI & Prediction Market Abuse

AI & Prediction Market Abuse

Articles on misuse of AI systems, insider data, or corporate access to gain unfair advantage in prediction markets, including Polymarket, Metaculus, and others.

ai prediction market abuseJun 29, 20265 min

How a Google Engineer Turned Year-in-Search Data Into a $1.2M Prediction Market Payday

A Google engineer exploited confidential internal data to place near-perfect bets on Polymarket’s 2025 Year-in-Search outcomes, netting $1.2M before the public ever saw the results — and triggering a landmark CFTC crackdown.