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Behavioral Economics & Decision Science

Behavioral Economics & Decision Science

Prediction markets, forecasting, behavioral biases in human judgment and decision-making.

behavioral economics decision scienceJun 29, 20264 min

Why Your Best Strategies Are Secretly Killing Your Future

The tactics that made you successful are now blinding you to threats. Here’s how to spot the trap before it’s too late.

behavioral economics decision scienceJun 29, 20265 min

Why 2026’s Credit Markets Will Break the Unprepared

Willem Marx on why credit markets in 2026 demand more than just spreadsheets—they require emotional discipline, pattern recognition, and the courage to ignore the noise.

behavioral economics decision scienceJun 26, 20265 min

Digital Risks and Early Development: Understanding the Link Between Social Media and Teen Mental Health Declines

A critical analysis of recent longitudinal evidence connecting high-volume social media consumption in early adolescence to increased depressive symptoms and declining well-being.

behavioral economics decision scienceJun 25, 20265 min

The President's Uneven Reach: Managing Markets, Ignoring Labor’s Share

An analytical deep-dive into presidential market influence, interest rates, and labor's declining share of output—challenging myths of executive control over the economy.

behavioral economics decision scienceJun 25, 20263 min

Establishing an Anchor Priority: Reclaiming Control Over a Post-Concussion Life

How survivors of traumatic brain injury can build structure and identify their primary objective when managing competing demands under severe cognitive limits.

behavioral economics decision scienceJun 25, 20264 min

The Brain's Bargain: Fast Reactions, Fuzzy Details, and the Cost of Survival

A look at the brain's dual-strategy for adaptive efficiency, where expected events speed up action by skipping detail, and surprises trigger metabolic resource allocation for memory updates.

behavioral economics decision scienceJun 25, 20265 min

Vigilance or Intrusion? The Historical and Constitutional Case for Disclosing Executive Health

An analysis of the historical precedents of presidential health concealment, the constitutional framework of the 25th Amendment, and the debate over the public's right to know about executive physical and cognitive fitness.

behavioral economics decision scienceJun 25, 20266 min

Clutter, Cortisol, and Connection: Reclaiming Bedroom Intimacy Through Environmental Psychology

Explore the environmental psychology of intimacy. Learn how visual clutter triggers cortisol, how screen distractions act as desire brakes, and how to use five key sensory levers to transform your bedroom from a stressful catch-all room back into a sanctuary for romantic connection.

behavioral economics decision scienceJun 25, 20265 min

Metabolic Sunrise: Gold-Standard Study Isolates Circadian Peak in Caloric Cost of Digesting Food

A highly controlled clinical study utilizing the constant-routine protocol has isolated a true endogenous circadian rhythm in diet-induced thermogenesis, showing that metabolic response to food peaks in the morning and drops in the evening, independent of behavioral factors.

behavioral economics decision scienceJun 23, 20265 min

Breaking the Cycle: How Serotonin Redefines OCD Treatment

New research indicates serotonin reduces 'belief stickiness' in OCD, challenging the 'habit' theory and suggesting a more effective timing for psychotherapeutic interventions.

behavioral economics decision scienceJun 23, 20265 min

The Success Paradox: Why Past Winning Strategies Eventually Obstruct Growth

Leaders frequently struggle to identify when their proven tactics have become counterproductive. This article explores the psychological mechanisms—including inertia and cognitive bias—that lock leaders into outdated strategies, and provides actionable frameworks to restore flexibility.

behavioral economics decision scienceJun 23, 20266 min

When Conspiracies Serve the State: Lessons from the 2023 Türkiye Earthquakes

A study highlights how conspiracy theories—specifically those blaming foreign technologies for the 2023 Türkiye earthquakes—were used by supporters of the incumbent government to deflect criticism and consolidate political support, overturning the conventional wisdom that conspiracy theories are only for the politically powerless.